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IEEE Spectrum November 2010 Robert W. Lucky |
Black Swans What if Gaussian engineering is clear, simple, and wrong? |
HBS Working Knowledge December 5, 2012 James Heskett |
Should Managers Bother Listening to Predictions? Recent books by Nate Silver and Nassim Nicholas Taleb provide insights on how predictions work (or don't), leaving us to wonder, should we use predictions at all when planning for the future? |
Financial Advisor November 2009 Clifford Caplan |
MPT in a Black Swan Universe Advisors need to consider how catastrophic events could help portfolios outperform. |
The Motley Fool May 14, 2010 Chris Hill |
Nouriel Roubini on White Swans and Financial Reform Thoughts on the euro, Greece, and financial reform from the man known as Dr. Doom in his new book "Crisis Economics: a Crash Course in the Future of Finance." |
The Motley Fool August 10, 2007 Jack Uldrich |
Foolish Book Review: "The Black Swan" We can't know what we don't know. And what we don't know is frequently more important than what we do know. That is the main theory of The Black Swan, a new book by Nassim Taleb, which may make you rethink how you view the world around you, and by extension, your investing assumptions. |
BusinessWeek June 10, 2010 Jessica Silver-Greenberg |
Time to Slip into Something Less Comfortable? The bearish forecasters who rose to fame in the market crash of 2008 have, for the most part, not surrendered their pessimism. Their moment could be coming back around. |
The Motley Fool December 26, 2010 Owain Bennallack |
Black Swan Hunting for 2011 What won't happen over the next 12 months. |
BusinessWeek July 22, 2010 Harrington et al. |
The Rush to Hedge Against Black Swan Events Wall Street is seeing a boom in hedge funds that offer protection from market calamities known as "long-tail risks." |
The Motley Fool February 11, 2010 Tim Hanson |
Only an Idiot Would Buy This Today As uncertainty spikes, investors seeking peace of mind should flock to lower-risk or even risk-free assets such as Treasuries. But don't do it. |
The Motley Fool January 9, 2009 Morgan Housel |
Fool Awards: Financial Mind of the Year There were a handful of financial masterminds who saw this whole thing coming years ago and ended 2008 looking like modern day Nostradamuses. Read on for the five nominees for the Financial Mind of 2008 award. |
BusinessWeek March 24, 2011 Roben Farzad |
In Today's Market, the Wisdom of Standing Pat The market's drop then gain after Japan's triple crises shows the stock rally's resilience and the futility of timing market hiccups. |
Knowledge@Wharton |
The Future of the Euro-Dollar Relationship Depends a Lot on the U.S. Depending on how it is accepted, the euro could ultimately become an alternative to the dollar as a global reserve currency and provide a place of refuge if mounting U.S. debt finally leads to a weaker dollar, according to international finance experts... |
Financial Advisor February 2009 Mary Rowland |
Everyone Is Wrong The true source of market volatility is mistakes, says market observer Woody Brock, founder and president of Strategic Economic Decisions. |
The Motley Fool May 31, 2007 Jim Mueller |
Foolish Book Review: "Fooled by Randomness" Nassim Taleb's book shows how life and investing is more random than you realize. |