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Knowledge@Wharton |
This Feels Like a Slump, But Is It a Recession? Comments from seven economists on whether the current slowdown is a recession, how to tell if it is one, and what this may indicate about the nature of the "new" economy. |
Finance & Development March 2009 Claessens & Kose |
What Is a Recession? The ongoing global financial crisis has been accompanied by recessions in many countries. It stands to become one of the longest and deepest recessions since the Great Depression of the 1930s. |
The Motley Fool September 20, 2010 Morgan Housel |
So Long, Recession The organization tasked with dating the start and end of recessions -- the National Bureau of Economic Research -- has officially laid our recent one to rest. Actually, it says the recession ended over a year ago, in June 2009. |
The Motley Fool March 24, 2008 Kristin Graham |
4 Key Recession Indicators Learn to spot a recession before it hits your portfolio. |
Finance & Development June 2009 Kose et al. |
Out of the Ballpark By any measure, the ongoing global recession is the deepest and the most synchronized of the postwar period |
CFO June 1, 2008 Edward Teach |
How Bad Will It Get? The subprime-mortgage meltdown is strikingly similar to major financial crises in other countries. Will the aftermath be as costly? |
Job Journal September 5, 2010 John Challenger |
Career Pros: Job Market Recovery is Stronger Than Many Think Compared to previous recessions, the job market is recovering quickly. |
The Motley Fool February 14, 2008 Timothy M. Otte |
Could These 3 Stocks Beat the Recession, Again? Let's look at three large-cap stocks that beat the 2001 recession: Proctor & Gamble... Archer Daniels Midland... Johnson & Johnson... |
Financial Advisor January 2011 Eric Rasmussen |
Thawing Out Expect the slow economic recovery to continue in 2011. |
Salon.com March 16, 2001 Andrew Leonard |
Bush's shaky hand The president's loose talk of recession and hype for his tax cut have economists worried he'll wreck the economy. |
The Motley Fool September 2, 2011 Morgan Housel |
What if We're Headed for a Recession? Four things to think about if the bears are right. |
The Motley Fool January 11, 2008 Rich Greifner |
Are We Headed for a Recession? Who Cares? When economic experts offer differing opinions, it's difficult to know whom to trust. So here's some advice: Ignore them all. |
Reason February 2009 Jacob Sullum |
The Reversals of Market Wisdom The TARP turnaround is not the only bewildering reversal of economic wisdom we've seen in recent months. Here are some of the more memorable ones. |
The Motley Fool November 8, 2006 Selena Maranjian |
What Causes a Recession? Learn the key factors behind an economic slowdown. |
CFO December 1, 2010 Russ Banham |
Shape Shifters Top economists tinker with their projections for 2011. |
The Motley Fool April 5, 2008 Amanda B. Kish |
3 Reasons to Welcome a Recession A recession is not all bad news, despite what the media would have you believe. |
Finance & Development December 2010 |
Stimulus Worked Without the quick and massive policy response, the Great Recession might still plague the United States. |
The Motley Fool March 24, 2008 Tom Hutchinson |
Finding the Bottom of a Recession Bad times sometimes bring the best investment opportunities. |
The Motley Fool April 15, 2009 Kristin Graham |
History Says Buy Now If you spend too much time looking for signs, you'll miss the best returns. |
CFO March 1, 2010 Russ Banham |
The Shape of Things to Come L, V, or W? Perhaps a check mark, or something with a wiggly tail? Top economists debate what the recovery will look like. |
BusinessWeek September 29, 2003 Robert J. Barro |
The Stubborn Jobless Rate: Puzzling, but Far from Scary The Dems say the labor market is the worst since the Depression. But the drop in jobs has been milder than in many other recessions. |
Financial Advisor September 2008 Evan Simonoff |
The Old Rules Don't Apply Anyone watching the stream of economic news surfacing this year has to wonder if there is a growing gap between perception and reality. |
Commercial Investment Real Estate Jan/Feb 2009 Kenneth P. Riggs |
Crossing the Divide The market forecast for commercial real estate in 2009 is perhaps one of the most difficult ever to pin down. |
The Motley Fool September 8, 2009 Jennifer Schonberger |
Expert Summit: Is the Recession Over? Top financial pros weigh in on whether the recession is over. |
Financial Planning October 1, 2010 Tom Samuels |
Is the Recovery Real? Professional investors' opinions about the future of stocks and the economy have rarely been as divergent as right now. The gap between bulls and bears has widened to a chasm. |
The Motley Fool February 8, 2011 Morgan Housel |
Still Waiting (and Waiting) for Jobs to Return Two more reasons it's going to be a long, painful wait for jobs. |
The Motley Fool August 19, 2010 Morgan Housel |
What Are the Odds of a Double-Dip Recession? What the Treasury spread model says about our future. |
HBS Working Knowledge October 17, 2005 Joseph H. Ellis |
Redefining Economic Downturns Not all economic events are unpredictable, says this former Goldman Sachs partner in a new book, Ahead of the Curve: A Commonsense Guide to Forecasting Business and Market Cycles. Here is an excerpt. |
The Motley Fool May 19, 2010 Matt Koppenheffer |
Next Stop: Double-Dip Recession? Many market-watchers continue to see the potential for the U.S. to slip back into recession in the coming quarters. |
Financial Advisor December 2009 Eric Rasmussen |
Which Way Is Up? Conflicting signs make it hard to embrace the idea that the recession is over. Yet some investment sectors are starting to perk up. |
The Motley Fool August 27, 2010 Morgan Housel |
GDP Growth Revised Way Down: What Should You Make of It? Second-quarter GDP growth was revised down to 1.6%, from the initially reported 2.4%. This sounds god-awful, like we're on the brink of a double-dip recession. And maybe we are. But this revision isn't as bad as it might seem. |
BusinessWeek February 23, 2004 Michael J. Mandel |
Inventing The "Clinton Recession" The Council of Economic Advisers is trying to alter the start date in a way that benefits Bush. It's not fair. |
IndustryWeek September 1, 2006 Michael K. Evans |
Evans On The Economy -- Beware Of The Sour Spot The Fed must get serious on inflation now to stave off a serious recession later. |
BusinessWeek July 9, 2007 James C. Cooper |
Housing's New Risks For The Economy Mortgage rates are up, credit is tighter, and home prices are falling faster. |
Inc. December 2007 Joseph H. Ellis |
Understanding the Economy People worry that a recession is coming. But by the time one arrives, most economic harm has already happened. |
The Motley Fool July 21, 2009 Morgan Housel |
The Google Panic Indicator Tracking Google search terms is now used to measure an economy's state of mind. The fact that the unprecedented flow of information -- a lot of it bogus -- greatly contributed to fear and panic. |
BusinessWeek April 8, 2010 Peter Coy |
U.S. Economy: The Case for More Stimulus The worst thing about the uptick in hiring? It could undermine a second wave of federal spending that may be needed to stave off a double-dip recession. |
The Motley Fool December 1, 2008 Morgan Housel |
It's Official: We're in a Recession The National Bureau of Economic Research has declared that the U.S. economy entered a recession in December of last year. |
BusinessWeek April 15, 2010 Miller & Feld |
Key to Recovery: Restocking All Those Shelves With employment weak and credit tight, worries persist about the possibility of a double-dip recession. But inventory rebuilding should help keep the economy strengthening. |
IndustryWeek July 1, 2006 Michael K. Evans |
Evans On The Economy -- The (Still) Coming Slowdown U.S. economic growth won't finally 'buckle' until lenders cut back on 'foolish' home loans. |
The Motley Fool July 11, 2007 Selena Maranjian |
Bring On the Recession! If you're at a point in your life where you're regularly generating new money to invest, a slumping stock market simply means that more stocks are on sale. What could be better? |
On Wall Street January 1, 2012 Rob Stein |
Here Comes The Contraction -- And It Could Be Good For Us Rather than believe the sky is falling again, this time there is cause for optimism. |
Financial Advisor November 2006 Evan Simonoff |
Deflation Or Inflation? Leading bond managers debate what's ahead. |
The Motley Fool January 11, 2008 Matt Koppenheffer |
A Golden Voice Cries Out: "Recession!" Goldman Sachs joins the chorus of bears expecting a recession in 2008. |
The Motley Fool December 2, 2009 Alex Dumortier |
Psst! This Recession Ain't Over, Folks A sobering observation for share investors that is entirely inconsistent with a powerful rally that has lifted stocks 64% from the March 9 market low. |
The Motley Fool March 24, 2008 Kristin Graham |
The Motley Fool's Recession Survival Guide Join us as we help you navigate through a down market. From learning about the formations of a bubble to stocks you should be buying, this survival guide will arm you with all of the information you need to feel confident in these trying days. |
BusinessWeek January 7, 2009 Maria Bartiromo |
Columbia's Amar Bhide and NYU's Nouriel Roubini NYU's Nouriel Roubini and Columbia's Amar Bhide predict a trying year ahead for the U.S. economy. |
FDIC FYI March 23, 2006 |
Scenarios for the Next U.S. Recession. A string of positive reports on the U.S. economy and banking industry has led some analysts to ask -- How long can these good times last? |
CFO April 1, 2006 Edward Teach |
As the Cycle Turns Even the most complex econometric models are blind to sudden turns in the business cycle. Recognizing the difficulty of predicting the future, most companies no longer employ staff economists, outsourcing their forecasting needs to commercial firms and university-based centers. |
HRO Today Jul/Aug 2008 Michael Beygelman |
Mid-year Employment Review Think the economy is in trouble? There are some encouraging data overshadowed by the negative news these days. |