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HBS Working Knowledge October 17, 2005 Joseph H. Ellis	Redefining Economic Downturns Not all economic events are unpredictable, says this former Goldman Sachs partner in a new book, Ahead of the Curve: A Commonsense Guide to Forecasting Business and Market Cycles. Here is an excerpt.
Knowledge@Wharton	This Feels Like a Slump, But Is It a Recession? Comments from seven economists on whether the current slowdown is a recession, how to tell if it is one, and what this may indicate about the nature of the "new" economy.
The Motley Fool September 21, 2006 Dan Caplinger	Know Your Numbers: Leading Economic Indicators By looking at the LEI index, you can make appropriate investment decisions and predict how prevailing economic trends are likely to affect you.
Finance & Development March 2009 Claessens & Kose	What Is a Recession? The ongoing global financial crisis has been accompanied by recessions in many countries. It stands to become one of the longest and deepest recessions since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Financial Planning September 1, 2008 Stephen Savage	Anatomy of a Recovery Let's look at performance history to analyze how past market downturns have played out and, more specifically, the ultimate impacts of different levels of decline.
U.S. Banker March 2010 Michael Widner	A Long, Slow Slog For the first time in 50 years, consumers and businesses are shrinking their debt. Unemployment is higher than ever, and the jobs recovery will take years. So is the economic rebound sustainable?
The Motley Fool September 20, 2010 Morgan Housel	So Long, Recession The organization tasked with dating the start and end of recessions -- the National Bureau of Economic Research -- has officially laid our recent one to rest. Actually, it says the recession ended over a year ago, in June 2009.
The Motley Fool April 26, 2005 J. Graham	Hunting for a Bear When the market tumbles, don't run and hide. Opportunity knocks. Bear markets can often offer good companies at great prices.
Financial Advisor June 2011 Jim Picerno	Macro And Markets Two sides of the risk management coin.
Financial Planning October 1, 2006 David A. Twibell	Read the Economy Financial advisors know that forecasting economic growth (or lack thereof) is always tricky. Understanding how the major economic indicators work can help improve your chances.
CFO April 1, 2006 Edward Teach	As the Cycle Turns Even the most complex econometric models are blind to sudden turns in the business cycle. Recognizing the difficulty of predicting the future, most companies no longer employ staff economists, outsourcing their forecasting needs to commercial firms and university-based centers.
On Wall Street January 1, 2012 Rob Stein	Here Comes The Contraction -- And It Could Be Good For Us Rather than believe the sky is falling again, this time there is cause for optimism.
BusinessWeek January 23, 2006 James C. Cooper	U.S.: One Big Reason To Expect A Decent Year For Jobs Companies can no longer meet demand with existing forces.
The Motley Fool March 24, 2008 Kristin Graham	4 Key Recession Indicators Learn to spot a recession before it hits your portfolio.
FDIC FYI March 23, 2006	Scenarios for the Next U.S. Recession. A string of positive reports on the U.S. economy and banking industry has led some analysts to ask -- How long can these good times last?
The Motley Fool February 14, 2008 Timothy M. Otte	Could These 3 Stocks Beat the Recession, Again? Let's look at three large-cap stocks that beat the 2001 recession: Proctor & Gamble... Archer Daniels Midland... Johnson & Johnson...
Financial Advisor December 2007 Alan Lavine	Cautious Optimism Most equity managers are expecting a soft economy in 2008, but how sluggish it will be is subject to disagreement.
BusinessWeek March 12, 2007 James C. Cooper	U.S.: Inventory Swings Are Whipsawing The Economy The ebb and flow of business inventories has the potential to generate some ups and downs this year that could greatly affect perceptions of the economy's strength.
BusinessWeek September 29, 2003 Robert J. Barro	The Stubborn Jobless Rate: Puzzling, but Far from Scary The Dems say the labor market is the worst since the Depression. But the drop in jobs has been milder than in many other recessions.
Finance & Development June 2009 Kose et al.	Out of the Ballpark By any measure, the ongoing global recession is the deepest and the most synchronized of the postwar period
InternetNews September 25, 2006 Paul Shread	Technical Analysis: All News is Good News Another dip gets bought.
Inc. August 2003 Gene Sperling	The Insider's Guide to Economic Forecasting Or, How to Get Ahead of the Competition by Becoming Your Own Economist. A well-known economist pulls back the curtain on the indicators he and other top insiders use to figure out where the economy is headed. These indicators can guide you, too.
AskMen.com November 23, 2003 Dan Carter	Understanding Economic Indicators The numbers, obtained through simple or complex methods depending on the indicator, paint a picture of the strength of a nation's economy. Of course, they are not meant to stand alone -- they require some logical interpretation as well.
Commercial Investment Real Estate Jul/Aug 2012 Kevin J. Thorpe	No Replay This year's recovery is not a repeat performance.
U.S. Banker March 2011 Dana Johnson	Recovery Transitions to Tepid Expansion Six quarters after the business cycle trough, some but not all of the major imbalances in the economy have been repaired.
BusinessWeek April 15, 2010 Miller & Feld	Key to Recovery: Restocking All Those Shelves With employment weak and credit tight, worries persist about the possibility of a double-dip recession. But inventory rebuilding should help keep the economy strengthening.
Financial Advisor July 2011 Somnath Basu	Will The Economy Double-Dip? Other than the stock market, most indicators reflect a trough, not the early stages of a growth cycle. Here's what advisors should watch for.
BusinessWeek January 19, 2004 Cooper & Madigan	U.S.: Manufacturing Looks A Lot Healthier This Year Production is up -- but industry's long-term problems haven't gone away.
The Motley Fool November 2, 2009 Dan Caplinger	Why Now Is the Right Time to Buy If you don't, you'll miss the biggest gains.
BusinessWeek January 15, 2007 James Mehring	Housing: The Best Indicators Of A Rebound According to some housing indicators, there is some light at the end of the tunnel for homebuilders, but that cautious optimism comes with caveats.
BusinessWeek August 6, 2009 James C. Cooper	Business Outlook: Greater Expectations for Second-Half GDP Growth Economists are raising their second-half forecasts to 2% to 3%, a pace that would increase the chances for a sustainable economic recovery.
BusinessWeek June 11, 2007 James C. Cooper	U.S.: Is The Housing Recession Starting To Recede? The drag on economic growth is easing, and home demand is firming up.
BusinessWeek August 13, 2007 James C. Cooper	Don't Be Afraid Of The Dark--Well, Not Too Afraid Risks are rising with market turmoil, but growth prospects still look solid.
BusinessWeek October 16, 2006 James C. Cooper	Stock Investors Seem To Hold The Winning Hand Data suggest a soft landing, not the recession the bond bulls fear.
BusinessWeek November 17, 2003 Cooper & Madigan	U.S.: Productivity Isn't The Villain -- It's The Hero While some may blame increased productivity for a loss of jobs, productivity will ultimately make things better for everyone.
Finance & Development December 1, 2007 Luis A.V. Catao	Backcasting Latin America Looking back at the business cycle in one of the most volatile regions -- Latin America -- requires reconstructing GDP data.
CFO March 1, 2010 Russ Banham	The Shape of Things to Come L, V, or W? Perhaps a check mark, or something with a wiggly tail? Top economists debate what the recovery will look like.
The Motley Fool March 24, 2008 Tom Hutchinson	Finding the Bottom of a Recession Bad times sometimes bring the best investment opportunities.
BusinessWeek September 10, 2007 James C. Cooper	If Credit Markets Thaw, Recession Is Unlikely Growth will get squeezed, but housing will take the brunt.
The Motley Fool April 15, 2009 Kristin Graham	History Says Buy Now If you spend too much time looking for signs, you'll miss the best returns.
BusinessWeek August 25, 2003 Cooper & Madigan	U.S.: A Yawning Trade Gap Could Swallow the Recovery Stronger demand will lift imports as weakness abroad pummels exports
IndustryWeek September 1, 2006 Michael K. Evans	Evans On The Economy -- Beware Of The Sour Spot The Fed must get serious on inflation now to stave off a serious recession later.
The Motley Fool November 30, 2011 Morgan Housel	Get Ready for an Earnings Bust? What profit margins tell us about the market.
The Motley Fool January 11, 2008 Rich Greifner	Are We Headed for a Recession? Who Cares? When economic experts offer differing opinions, it's difficult to know whom to trust. So here's some advice: Ignore them all.
BusinessWeek May 21, 2009 James Cooper	Business Outlook: The Fed Should Be in No Rush to Raise Rates Trading in the futures market already shows investors are betting the Fed will begin to lift its target interest rate within the coming year. But time is on Bernanke's side, and he won't want to jump the gun.
Financial Advisor December 2009 Eric Rasmussen	Which Way Is Up? Conflicting signs make it hard to embrace the idea that the recession is over. Yet some investment sectors are starting to perk up.
Financial Advisor September 2009 James Picerno	Economic Justice The details of how the business cycle affects the equity risk premium are emerging ... slowly.
BusinessWeek November 24, 2003 Cooper & Madigan	U.S.: The Jobless Recovery: Kiss It Good-Bye More demand and smaller productivity gains will boost payrolls.
BusinessWeek November 3, 2003 Cooper & Madigan	U.S.: The Virtuous Cycle Is Finally Kicking In As the recovery takes hold, GDP growth may hit levels not seen since 2000.
CFO June 1, 2008 Edward Teach	How Bad Will It Get? The subprime-mortgage meltdown is strikingly similar to major financial crises in other countries. Will the aftermath be as costly?